Plasma Interleukin-6 Predicts Clinical Decline After Completion of Dexamethasone Therapy in Severe COVID-19.

To identify and characterize clinical decline after completion of dexamethasone in severe COVID-19 and determine whether interleukin (IL)-6 and other inflammatory biomarkers predict the occurrence of clinical decline. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort. SETTING: ICUs in three University of Washington affiliated hospitals between July 2020 and April 2021. PATIENTS: Patients admitted to an ICU with COVID-19 who completed a course of dexamethasone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We identified 65 adult patients with severe COVID-19 who completed a 10-day course of dexamethasone, of whom 60 had plasma samples collected within 3 days of dexamethasone completion. We measured IL-6 with a clinical-grade electrochemiluminescent assay and a larger panel of inflammatory biomarkers (IL-8, Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1, Monocyte Inflammatory Protein-1 alpha, interferon gamma, C-X-C Motif Chemokine Ligand 10, WBC, bicarbonate) with a research immunoassay. We defined clinical decline by the occurrence of incident severe kidney injury, incident or escalating shock or fever, worsening hypoxemia, or death within 5 days of completion of dexamethasone. We estimated risk for clinical decline by standardized log2 transformed biomarker concentration using multivariable logistic regression. Clinical decline post-dexamethasone was common, occurring in 49% of patients (n = 32). Among all biomarkers, IL-6 levels were most strongly associated with clinical decline. After adjustment for age, sex, and study site, the odds of post-dexamethasone clinical decline were 7.33 times higher per one sd increase in log2 transformed IL-6 concentrations (adjusted odds ratio, 7.33; CI, 2.62-20.47; p < 0.001). The discriminatory power of IL-6 for clinical decline was high (cross-validated mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.79-0.95). CONCLUSIONS: Clinical decline after completion of dexamethasone for severe COVID-19 is common. IL-6 concentrations obtained prior to completion of dexamethasone may have utility in identifying those at highest risk for subsequent worsening. If validated, future work might test whether plasma IL-6 could be used as a tool for a personalized approach to duration of dexamethasone treatment in severe COVID-19.

Management of Adults with Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation with and without CKD.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly prevalent in CKD and is associated with worse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes. Limited data exist on use of AF pharmacotherapies and AF-related procedures by CKD status. We examined a large "real-world" contemporary population with incident AF to study the association of CKD with management of AF. METHODS: We identified patients with newly diagnosed AF between 2010 and 2017 from two large, integrated health care delivery systems. eGFR (≥60, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29, <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2) was calculated from a minimum of two ambulatory serum creatinine measures separated by ≥90 days. AF medications and procedures were identified from electronic health records. We performed multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression to test the association of CKD severity with receipt of targeted AF therapies. RESULTS: Among 115,564 patients with incident AF, 34% had baseline CKD. In multivariable models, compared with those with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2, patients with eGFR 30-44 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.91; 95% CI, 0.99 to 0.93), 15-29 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.82), and <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (aHR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.58-0.70) had lower use of any AF therapy. Patients with eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m2 had lower adjusted use of rate control agents (aHR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.67), warfarin (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.94), and DOACs (aHR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.19 to 0.27) compared with patients with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. These associations were even stronger for eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2. There was also a graded association between CKD severity and receipt of AF-related procedures (vs eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2): eGFR 30-44 ml/min per 1.73 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.87), eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.88), and eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (aHR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.31 to 0.74). CONCLUSIONS: In adults with newly diagnosed AF, CKD severity was associated with lower receipt of rate control agents, anticoagulation, and AF procedures. Additional data on efficacy and safety of AF therapies in CKD populations are needed to inform management strategies.

Presence of Antibodies to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 on Admission Is Associated With Decreased Mortality in COVID-19 Critical Illness.

To determine whether the early serologic response in COVID-19 critical illness is associated with hospital mortality. To evaluate if time-to-seroconversion differs by receipt of dexamethasone therapy. DESIGN: Patients were prospectively enrolled within 24 hours of ICU admission from two University of Washington Hospitals. Plasma was collected on enrollment and on days 3, 7, 10, and 14. SETTING: ICUs between March 2020 and April 2021. PATIENTS: Consecutive adults with COVID-19 admitted to an ICU. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We measured longitudinal total antispike protein antibody levels (anti-S abs) and total antinucleocapsid antibody levels (anti-N ab) using a U.S. Food and Drug Administration-authorized Roche instrument. We evaluated whether detectable anti-S abs on ICU admission were associated with host factors, initial disease severity, and hospital mortality. We evaluated whether dexamethasone therapy was associated with time-to-seroconversion. Among 93 unvaccinated participants, 47 (51%) had detectable anti-S abs on ICU admission. There was no difference in Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score or time between first positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 PCR and ICU admission in those with detectable versus undetectable anti-S abs. Adjusting for age, body mass index, and sex, patients with detectable anti-S abs had a lower risk of inhospital death (hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.17-0.94; p = 0.04). Among 21 patients with undetectable anti-S abs on ICU admission and serial measurements available, time-to-seroconversion was not significantly affected by receipt of dexamethasone therapy. CONCLUSIONS: In COVID-19 critical illness, a significant proportion of patients do not have detectable antibodies at ICU admission, and this is independent of severity of illness. Detectable anti-S abs were associated with lower risk of inhospital death. Despite concern that corticosteroids may impair an appropriate antiviral serologic response, early antibody kinetics were not significantly affected by administration of dexamethasone; however, CIs were wide and require further study.